Honduras vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
66.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
SLV
0 - 0
HND
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 1
HND
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
3 - 0
HND
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
HND
0 - 2
QAT
38%
26%
37%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
PAN
2 - 3
HND
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
USA
1 - 1
CAN
81%
12%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
SLV
0 - 0
USA
6%
18%
76%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
MEX
42%
24%
34%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
QAT
0 - 1
USA
23%
24%
53%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
JAM
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |