Honduras Progreso vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SOC
1 - 1
HNP
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
HNP
1 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RSO
1 - 2
HNP
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
HNP
0 - 1
PLA
51%
24%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
HNP
2 - 1
VID
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RES
1 - 3
OLI
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
RES
1 - 0
PLA
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 3
RES
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
JUT
0 - 3
RES
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
RES
2 - 2
MOT
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |