Honduras Progreso vs CD Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
RES
4 - 1
HNP
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 2
OLI
14%
21%
65%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 1
JAG
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
HNP
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
HNP
4 - 2
PLA
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
RSO
0 - 3
JAG
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
MOT
5 - 1
RSO
74%
18%
8%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
RSO
2 - 1
VIC
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
OLI
4 - 0
RSO
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VID
2 - 1
RSO
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |