Honduras Progreso vs CD Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
HNP
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VID
2 - 1
HNP
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
HNP
38%
26%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
HNP
4 - 3
PLA
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
HNP
4 - 1
MOT
44%
27%
28%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RSO
1 - 1
MAR
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VID
2 - 0
RSO
40%
27%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
RSO
1 - 1
VIC
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
RSO
0 - 1
JUT
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
MOT
2 - 4
RSO
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |