Honduras Progreso vs CD Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
MOT
4 - 1
HNP
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 2
HNP
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
RSO
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
RSO
1 - 1
MOT
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
RSO
0 - 1
MAR
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
RSO
38%
23%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
RSO
4 - 0
VIC
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |