H. Nieves vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
H. Nieves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
HON
3 - 3
RAC
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
MON
2 - 0
HON
16%
20%
65%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
HON
2 - 1
ALT
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 0
HON
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
HON
4 - 0
RAF
62%
20%
19%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CFP
2 - 0
UDF
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
UDF
1 - 2
RAV
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
UDF
3 - 3
CDC
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 2
UDF
33%
24%
44%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
UDF
3 - 1
ALG
54%
22%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |