H. Nieves vs S. Fulgencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
H. Nieves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ATH
2 - 0
HON
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
HON
1 - 5
BAH
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
HON
43%
24%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
HON
6 - 2
ALT
77%
15%
9%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 1
HON
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
S. Fulgencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 1
ATL
41%
25%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
MON
5 - 1
SPO
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MON
0 - 3
SPO
30%
23%
47%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 2
ATH
12%
17%
71%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BAH
4 - 0
SPO
78%
13%
8%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |