H. Nieves vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
H. Nieves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NUC
3 - 0
HON
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
HON
3 - 2
BEN
58%
20%
22%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CDC
0 - 1
HON
55%
21%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HON
0 - 3
ALM
35%
23%
42%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SFF
1 - 1
HON
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
THD
1 - 3
BEN
59%
21%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
THD
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
THD
5 - 1
PET
41%
24%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 1
THD
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
THD
1 - 0
UNI
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |