H. Nieves vs Cox analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
H. Nieves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
DOL
5 - 2
HON
51%
23%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
HON
2 - 0
TOR
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
BAH
3 - 0
HON
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
HON
3 - 0
ALT
52%
23%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
GAB
0 - 5
HON
78%
14%
9%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
CDC
2 - 0
ATL
23%
22%
56%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SPO
5 - 0
CDC
83%
12%
6%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CDC
2 - 1
MON
8%
13%
79%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SGU
0 - 1
CDC
64%
19%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CDC
1 - 2
RAC
16%
19%
65%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |