H. Nieves vs Bigastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
H. Nieves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 2
HON
41%
23%
36%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
HON
2 - 4
ALT
34%
23%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HON
5 - 1
SPO
74%
15%
12%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
HON
2 - 1
SPO
16%
18%
65%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
DOL
2 - 1
HON
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BIG
2 - 3
RAF
17%
19%
64%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ALG
0 - 1
BIG
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
ATH
2 - 1
BIG
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
BIG
0 - 1
ATL
22%
21%
57%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
BIG
0 - 2
ALT
22%
21%
57%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |