Holywell vs Penrhyncoch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+92%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
77
2º
16º
2º
16
3º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 2
HOL
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
HOL
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 2
HOL
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
HOL
2 - 1
BUC
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
CEF
0 - 3
HOL
30%
23%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Penrhyncoch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
LLA
12%
21%
68%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAE
49%
24%
26%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
RTW
22%
24%
55%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
PRE
5 - 0
PEN
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
AAA
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |