Holywell vs Lex XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
BAL
2 - 1
HOL
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
LLA
2 - 1
HOL
61%
21%
19%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 2
HOL
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BUC
1 - 0
HOL
44%
23%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
HOL
5 - 7
LLU
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lex XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
CEM
0 - 9
LEX
17%
21%
62%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
LLA
2 - 4
LEX
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
LEX
0 - 2
LLA
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
LEX
1 - 1
GFC
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
MOL
3 - 4
LEX
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |