Holywell vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
53.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HOL
0 - 1
PRE
39%
23%
38%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
FLI
1 - 2
HOL
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 1
PEN
78%
13%
9%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
HOL
0 - 0
HOL
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 0
GRE
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 1
CEF
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
CEF
0 - 0
CON
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CEF
0 - 0
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
RHY
0 - 3
CEF
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
11%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |