Holywell vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 1
BUC
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
HOL
4 - 0
MOL
82%
12%
7%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
DEN
1 - 1
HOL
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HOL
4 - 0
HOL
64%
19%
16%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
HOL
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
DEN
3 - 1
CEF
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 6
CEF
16%
20%
64%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CEF
1 - 0
FLI
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 2
CEF
11%
16%
73%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
CEF
1 - 0
MOL
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |