Holyhead Hotspur vs Gresford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holyhead Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
CEM
0 - 2
HOL
21%
23%
55%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
BUC
1 - 1
HOL
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
LLA
2 - 0
HOL
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
LLA
3 - 1
HOL
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
GFC
2 - 1
HOL
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 2
GUI
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
HAL
4 - 2
GRE
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
FLI
5 - 1
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 3
BUC
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -3 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 2
MOL
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |