Holyhead Hotspur vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holyhead Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LLA
2 - 3
HOL
20%
20%
61%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
HOL
8 - 0
PEN
83%
11%
5%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 4
DEN
58%
22%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
HOL
4 - 2
PRE
37%
23%
40%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RHA
0 - 4
HOL
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CEF
1 - 0
CAE
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
CEF
1 - 2
BUC
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CEF
4 - 0
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 2
DEN
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 1
CEF
60%
20%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |