Holyhead Hotspur vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
53.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holyhead Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
BUC
2 - 2
HOL
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 0
HOL
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 1
HOL
15%
19%
67%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
HOL
0 - 1
CAE
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 1
HOL
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CEF
1 - 2
CAE
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 0
CEF
15%
21%
65%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CEF
5 - 2
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CEF
7 - 1
RHA
82%
13%
6%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CEF
10 - 1
LLA
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |