Holyhead Hotspur vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holyhead Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LLA
5 - 2
HOL
16%
19%
65%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HOL
3 - 1
LLA
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
HOL
1 - 3
RHY
26%
22%
51%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
HOL
38%
23%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
HAV
3 - 2
HOL
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
CEF
2 - 1
POR
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
RHA
0 - 3
CEF
19%
21%
60%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CEF
3 - 0
LLA
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 2
CEF
15%
20%
64%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
MYP
5 - 0
CEF
79%
15%
6%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |