Holy Ghost vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
40.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
9º
16º
13º
39
7º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holy Ghost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
POL
1 - 0
HGH
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HGH
0 - 4
ORA
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 1
HGH
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
EAN
3 - 0
HGH
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
HGH
3 - 3
SES
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 0
EAN
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SES
1 - 2
BOT
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 1
SUA
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
PRI
1 - 2
BOT
35%
23%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 2
MOW
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |