Holwierde vs Buitenpost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holwierde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GRI
0 - 5
HOL
39%
23%
39%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
HOL
4 - 0
TRY
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DRE
0 - 3
HOL
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
HOL
1 - 1
LEE
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CVV
1 - 1
HOL
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Buitenpost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BUI
0 - 0
TRY
52%
23%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LEE
1 - 2
BUI
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BUI
2 - 3
CVV
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HZV
3 - 0
BUI
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BUI
0 - 3
CVV
53%
22%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |