Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
STP
1 - 2
HOL
61%
21%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
HOL
0 - 1
WAT
41%
24%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
EBT
1 - 1
HOL
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
HOL
0 - 3
KFC
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
VFR
1 - 2
HOL
19%
22%
60%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
SGD
1 - 1
HAM
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
WUP
1 - 1
SGD
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
PRE
2 - 2
SGD
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
SGD
1 - 0
STP
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
WAT
0 - 1
SGD
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |