Holstein Kiel vs SC Sperber analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1971 |
HAN
7 - 1
HOL
81%
11%
8%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
OSN
4 - 1
HOL
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
HOL
0 - 2
BAR
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1971 |
HOL
5 - 4
HAN
29%
23%
47%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
LUB
3 - 0
HOL
49%
25%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SC Sperber
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
SCS
1 - 0
OSV
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
TBR
3 - 1
SCS
70%
19%
12%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
SCS
2 - 6
STP
21%
25%
55%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
OSN
0 - 1
SCS
87%
10%
4%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
SCS
1 - 1
BAR
28%
28%
44%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +1 |