Holstein Kiel vs SC Sperber analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
VFB
2 - 2
HOL
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
HOL
2 - 1
STP
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
HOL
1 - 0
OSN
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
OWI
1 - 0
HOL
29%
24%
48%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
HOL
2 - 1
TBR
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SC Sperber
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
SCS
0 - 2
OWI
46%
28%
26%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
TBR
0 - 1
SCS
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
SCS
0 - 0
CEL
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
ITZ
2 - 2
SCS
65%
20%
16%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
SCS
0 - 1
AHA
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |