Holstein Kiel vs SC Sperber analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
ITZ
3 - 2
HOL
18%
19%
64%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
HOL
1 - 2
BAR
77%
14%
9%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
ALT
1 - 3
HOL
31%
23%
46%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
WOL
2 - 2
HOL
48%
24%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
HOL
2 - 0
TBR
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
SC Sperber
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
AHA
1 - 2
SCS
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
SCS
4 - 2
ITZ
62%
19%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
BAR
3 - 4
SCS
60%
20%
20%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
SCS
4 - 2
ALT
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
SCS
1 - 1
WOL
28%
23%
49%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |