Holstein Kiel vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
HOL
2 - 1
PRE
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
HAM
1 - 1
HOL
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
HOL
1 - 1
WUP
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
SGD
3 - 0
HOL
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
HOL
0 - 5
STP
27%
24%
50%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
ROT
4 - 0
HAM
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
WUP
2 - 0
ROT
32%
26%
43%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
ROT
2 - 0
SGD
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
STP
1 - 2
ROT
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ROT
4 - 2
WAT
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |