Holstein Kiel vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
USO
1 - 1
HOL
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
HOL
3 - 1
DSC
43%
25%
31%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
VIK
2 - 0
HOL
38%
29%
34%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
HOL
2 - 1
STP
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
SCH
0 - 3
HOL
60%
19%
21%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
ROT
2 - 1
AHA
82%
11%
6%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
LEV
4 - 0
ROT
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ROT
1 - 1
KÖL
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
WHE
2 - 2
ROT
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
WAB
1 - 0
ROT
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | -1 |