Holstein Kiel vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
HAN
2 - 0
HOL
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
HOL
0 - 2
KSC
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
ERZ
2 - 3
HOL
18%
22%
59%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 0
F95
41%
25%
35%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SSV
1 - 2
HOL
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
PAD
3 - 3
ERZ
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
S04
2 - 0
PAD
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 0
SGD
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
STP
2 - 2
PAD
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PAD
3 - 4
BRE
33%
23%
43%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |