Holstein Kiel vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
HOL
3 - 1
BOR
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
HOL
0 - 2
STP
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
HAM
1 - 1
HOL
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
OSN
3 - 2
HOL
58%
23%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
HOL
2 - 1
DIE
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
PAD
3 - 1
DIE
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 0
WUP
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
HER
2 - 4
PAD
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
PAD
3 - 0
KFC
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
PAD
1 - 1
WOL
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |