Holstein Kiel vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 0
HOL
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
HOL
4 - 3
ROT
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
HOL
2 - 1
PRE
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
HAM
1 - 1
HOL
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
HOL
1 - 1
WUP
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
PAD
0 - 0
HAM
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
WUP
0 - 3
PAD
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 1
SGD
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
STP
2 - 0
PAD
62%
21%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
PAD
3 - 2
WAT
39%
23%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |