Holstein Kiel vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
KÖL
1 - 1
HOL
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
HOL
2 - 1
DRE
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
CHE
1 - 1
HOL
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2002 |
LUB
1 - 1
HOL
76%
16%
9%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
HOL
0 - 0
OSN
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
PAD
4 - 1
PRE
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2002 |
DRE
0 - 0
PAD
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
WER
0 - 2
PAD
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
PAD
1 - 1
F95
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
PAD
1 - 1
KÖL
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |