Holstein Kiel vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
SON
1 - 1
HOL
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 1
HOL
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 0
MUN
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 2
SVS
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MSV
3 - 1
HOL
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
MAI
1 - 1
CHE
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
HAL
1 - 2
MAI
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MAI
1 - 1
OSN
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
MAI
3 - 1
SGS
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SSV
0 - 0
MAI
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |