Holstein Kiel vs Magdeburg analysis

Holstein Kiel Magdeburg
72 ELO 69
4% Tilt 24.5%
194º General ELO ranking 315º
23º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
47.8%
Holstein Kiel
24.3%
Draw
27.9%
Magdeburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
Holstein Kiel
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.9%
Win probability
Magdeburg
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Holstein Kiel
+4%
+1%
Magdeburg

Points and table prediction

Holstein Kiel
Their league position
Magdeburg
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
13º
43
11º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Darmstadt 98
67
67
100%
Hamburger SV
66
66
100%
Heidenheim
65
65
100%
FC St Pauli
58
58
100%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
58
58
100%
Paderborn
55
55
100%
Karlsruher SC
46
46
0%
Holstein Kiel
46
46
0%
Kaiserslautern
45
45
100%
Hannover 96
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Magdeburg
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Greuther Fürth
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Hansa Rostock
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Nürnberg
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Eintracht Braunschweig
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Arminia Bielefeld
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Jahn Regensburg
17º
32
32
17º
100%
Sandhausen
18º
28
28
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Holstein Kiel
Magdeburg
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Holstein Kiel
Magdeburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2023
KAI
Kaiserslautern
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
36%
26%
39%
74 73 1 0
28 Jan. 2023
HOL
Holstein Kiel
2 - 1
Greuther Fürth
SGF
47%
25%
28%
73 70 3 +1
21 Jan. 2023
HAN
Hannover 96
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
34%
24%
42%
73 73 0 0
14 Jan. 2023
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
33%
24%
43%
73 72 1 0
11 Jan. 2023
CLU
CFR Cluj
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
43%
25%
33%
73 79 6 0

Matches

Magdeburg
Magdeburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2023
MAG
Magdeburg
1 - 1
Karlsruher SC
KSC
38%
26%
35%
68 68 0 0
27 Jan. 2023
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 - 2
Magdeburg
MAG
53%
23%
24%
68 75 7 0
20 Jan. 2023
WAR
Legia Warszawa
2 - 2
Magdeburg
MAG
62%
20%
19%
69 79 10 -1
13 Jan. 2023
MAG
Magdeburg
4 - 2
MTK Budapest
MTK
36%
22%
42%
68 66 2 +1
11 Jan. 2023
ZAL
Zaglebie Lubin
2 - 1
Magdeburg
MAG
44%
23%
33%
69 72 3 -1