Holstein Kiel vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
OSN
1 - 1
HOL
68%
20%
12%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2001 |
HOL
3 - 2
MAG
21%
24%
56%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
VER
2 - 0
HOL
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
HOL
0 - 2
ROT
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
LUN
2 - 0
HOL
51%
25%
25%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
LUB
4 - 1
PRE
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
WER
3 - 5
LUB
34%
26%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
LUB
3 - 2
PAD
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
KÖL
0 - 1
LUB
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
LUN
0 - 1
LUB
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |