Holstein Kiel vs Hamburger SV II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
WUP
2 - 1
HOL
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
HOL
1 - 1
SGD
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
STP
1 - 2
HOL
61%
21%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
HOL
0 - 1
WAT
41%
24%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
EBT
1 - 1
HOL
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
HAM
0 - 1
WUP
39%
27%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
PRE
1 - 0
HAM
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
SGD
1 - 1
HAM
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
HAM
1 - 0
STP
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
WAT
2 - 3
HAM
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |