Holstein Kiel vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CHE
4 - 2
HOL
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HOL
3 - 0
WER
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 2
STU
17%
21%
63%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
HAL
0 - 2
HOL
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 4
MAI
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
KÖL
3 - 0
COT
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ROS
4 - 2
KÖL
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
KÖL
1 - 1
VFR
25%
28%
48%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SVS
2 - 1
KÖL
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
KÖL
1 - 3
KOL
13%
21%
66%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |