Holstein Kiel vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
ARB
2 - 2
HOL
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
HOL
2 - 1
CHE
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 2
HOL
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 0
MAI
63%
23%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SGS
1 - 1
HOL
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
KÖL
2 - 2
ERF
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
PRE
1 - 0
KÖL
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
KÖL
1 - 0
SGD
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
COT
1 - 1
KÖL
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
KÖL
0 - 1
STU
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |