Holstein Kiel vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SSV
1 - 2
HOL
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
S04
1 - 1
HOL
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
HOL
3 - 2
OSN
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2022 |
HOL
5 - 0
HAV
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
HOL
3 - 0
STP
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
BOC
0 - 2
F95
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
F95
0 - 1
FCN
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 0
F95
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
F95
2 - 1
FRE
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
F95
0 - 1
SVS
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |