Holstein Kiel vs Phönix Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
4.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
HOL
1 - 1
AHA
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
SCS
2 - 3
HOL
20%
20%
61%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
HOL
4 - 2
ITZ
79%
15%
7%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
BAR
2 - 1
HOL
17%
19%
64%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
HOL
3 - 0
ALT
73%
18%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Phönix Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
FCP
0 - 2
SCS
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
ITZ
1 - 1
FCP
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
FCP
2 - 1
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
ALT
1 - 1
FCP
72%
16%
12%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
WOL
3 - 0
FCP
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |