Holstein Kiel vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SSV
2 - 3
HOL
31%
24%
46%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
HOL
3 - 1
BOC
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
HAN
0 - 3
HOL
41%
25%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
HOL
2 - 2
HEI
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
HOL
1 - 1
HSV
32%
25%
44%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FCN
2 - 1
WUR
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
PAD
0 - 2
FCN
54%
22%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
FCN
2 - 3
SGF
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
OSN
1 - 4
FCN
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FCN
1 - 1
F95
24%
23%
54%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |