Holstein Kiel vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
SGF
2 - 1
HOL
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 0
WUR
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
F95
0 - 2
HOL
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 1
DAR
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
HOL
3 - 1
EBT
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
ERZ
1 - 0
BOC
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
HEI
2 - 0
ERZ
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
ERZ
3 - 3
HSV
22%
24%
54%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
SGF
3 - 0
ERZ
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
ERZ
2 - 1
WUR
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |