Holstein Kiel vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
PRE
2 - 0
HOL
70%
19%
12%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
HOL
2 - 1
HAN
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
RWL
1 - 3
HOL
56%
20%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
HOL
2 - 2
ROT
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
USO
1 - 1
HOL
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
AAA
4 - 0
AHA
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
LEV
2 - 0
AAA
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
AAA
1 - 1
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
WHE
0 - 1
AAA
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
AAA
0 - 1
WAT
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |