Holstein Kiel II vs NTSV Strand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
PRE
0 - 0
HOL
14%
20%
66%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HOL
5 - 0
TOD
83%
11%
7%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HOL
6 - 0
KRO
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HEI
0 - 3
HOL
10%
18%
72%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
HOL
3 - 0
HAG
89%
8%
4%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
NTSV Strand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
NTS
0 - 1
HAG
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LUB
0 - 2
NTS
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NTS
4 - 1
HAR
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ALT
0 - 0
NTS
18%
20%
63%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NTS
1 - 0
SCH
83%
12%
6%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | +1 |