Holstein Kiel II vs Hamburger SV II analysis

Holstein Kiel II  Hamburger SV II
53 ELO 64
8.8% Tilt 5.5%
4146º General ELO ranking 2545º
181º Country ELO ranking 104º
ELO win probability
17.3%
Holstein Kiel II
22.3%
Draw
60.5%
Hamburger SV II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
Holstein Kiel II
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.5%
Win probability
 Hamburger SV II
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Holstein Kiel II
-16%
-10%
 Hamburger SV II

Points and table prediction

Holstein Kiel II
Their league position
 Hamburger SV II
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
18º
17º
49
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Havelse
72
72
100%
BSV Kickers Emden
60
60
100%
Drochtersen / Assel
60
60
100%
Werder Bremen II
58
58
100%
Phönix Lübeck
56
56
100%
SV Meppen
54
54
0%
VfB Lübeck
54
54
0%
 Hamburger SV II
49
49
100%
BW Lohne
47
47
63%
St. Pauli II
10º
45
46
10º
63%
VfB Oldenburg
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Eintracht Norderstedt
12º
43
43
12º
100%
Weiche Flensburg
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Jeddeloh
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Bremer SV
15º
34
35
15º
100%
Teutonia Ottensen
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Holstein Kiel II
17º
28
28
17º
0%
Todesfelde
18º
28
28
18º
0%
Expected probabilities
Holstein Kiel II
 Hamburger SV II
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Holstein Kiel II
 Hamburger SV II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Holstein Kiel II
Holstein Kiel II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2025
STP
St. Pauli II
3 - 0
Holstein Kiel II
HOL
60%
22%
18%
52 59 7 0
13 Apr. 2025
HOL
Holstein Kiel II
1 - 3
Todesfelde
TOD
48%
24%
28%
53 52 1 -1
04 Apr. 2025
WER
Werder Bremen II
3 - 1
Holstein Kiel II
HOL
80%
13%
7%
53 67 14 0
30 Mar. 2025
HOL
Holstein Kiel II
2 - 4
VfB Oldenburg
VFB
29%
26%
46%
54 62 8 -1
22 Mar. 2025
BWL
BW Lohne
0 - 1
Holstein Kiel II
HOL
59%
22%
20%
52 58 6 +2

Matches

Hamburger SV II
 Hamburger SV II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2025
MEP
SV Meppen
5 - 1
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
60%
22%
18%
66 73 7 0
12 Apr. 2025
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
4 - 2
St. Pauli II
STP
58%
21%
20%
64 60 4 +2
06 Apr. 2025
TOD
Todesfelde
0 - 1
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
20%
24%
57%
63 52 11 +1
02 Apr. 2025
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
2 - 3
VfB Lübeck
LUB
49%
24%
28%
63 63 0 0
22 Mar. 2025
VFB
VfB Oldenburg
0 - 0
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
43%
25%
33%
63 61 2 0