Holstebro vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
45.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstebro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
HOB
0 - 1
HOL
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
IFL
0 - 1
HOL
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
HOL
2 - 0
VOR
86%
9%
5%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
HOL
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
HOL
3 - 3
LIF
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AAF
0 - 1
VOR
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
AAF
2 - 1
FRE
17%
24%
59%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 3
AAF
28%
22%
51%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AAF
0 - 1
LIF
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
RAN
1 - 2
AAF
30%
23%
47%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |