Hollfeld vs Selbitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hollfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
AMB
4 - 0
HOL
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 2
HOL
83%
12%
5%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
HOL
2 - 1
AHA
14%
20%
67%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
AMM
4 - 1
HOL
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
HOL
2 - 2
NEU
12%
19%
69%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 4
AUB
14%
20%
67%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AHA
3 - 1
SEL
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SEL
1 - 2
AMM
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
NEU
1 - 2
SEL
75%
16%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
SEL
0 - 0
JFO
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |