Hollenbach vs Grunbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
VFR
1 - 1
HOL
59%
22%
18%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 0
BAL
50%
24%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
STU
1 - 4
HOL
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 1
FRE
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
STU
0 - 1
HOL
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grunbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GRU
2 - 0
BAH
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
OBE
0 - 1
GRU
14%
20%
67%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GRU
3 - 1
VIL
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 2
GRU
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
GRU
2 - 1
VFR
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |