Holland Park Hawks vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holland Park Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
IPS
3 - 2
HPH
19%
20%
61%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HPH
3 - 1
EAS
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LOG
1 - 4
HPH
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HPH
1 - 4
ALB
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
HPH
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
ROC
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NPI
2 - 1
UNI
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 4
MIT
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 4
IPS
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
EAS
4 - 0
UNI
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |