Holbæk vs Vejgaard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2.4%
+5
2.4%
4-0
6.9%
+4
6.9%
3-0
15.6%
+3
15.6%
2-0
26.6%
+2
26.6%
1-0
30.3%
+1
30.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
17.3%
0
17.3%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+12%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 21 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 15 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
61% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holbæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 0
BRØ
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 5
HOL
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 2
ODD
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
BOL
4 - 1
HOL
12%
15%
73%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FA2
0 - 2
HOL
52%
22%
26%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vejgaard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
THI
0 - 1
VEJ
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
VEJ
0 - 2
HOB
8%
13%
78%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
THI
3 - 1
VEJ
68%
19%
14%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
VEJ
0 - 2
JAM
13%
16%
72%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
THI
0 - 1
VEJ
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +1 |