Holbæk vs KFUM Roskilde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
6º
2º
24
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holbæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
KAR
2 - 2
HOL
48%
23%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
HOL
5 - 2
B19
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GVI
2 - 2
HOL
21%
20%
59%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 0
TAR
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HER
1 - 4
HOL
17%
18%
66%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
KFUM Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HER
2 - 5
KFU
25%
21%
54%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KFU
1 - 2
KAR
24%
23%
53%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
KFU
2 - 1
GSL
56%
20%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
B19
1 - 1
KFU
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
KFU
0 - 2
GRE
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |