Holbæk vs Brønshøj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
6º
1º
14
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 21 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 15 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
61% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holbæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 5
HOL
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 2
ODD
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
BOL
4 - 1
HOL
12%
15%
73%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FA2
0 - 2
HOL
52%
22%
26%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 0
KAR
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brønshøj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BRØ
2 - 1
RIN
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
BRØ
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BRØ
2 - 2
B19
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GVI
1 - 4
BRØ
17%
19%
63%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BRØ
2 - 0
TAR
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |